SimPathsIT: A life course microsimulation framework for Italy

Publication type

CeMPA Working Paper Series

Series Number

CCEMPA8/25

Series

CeMPA Working Paper Series

Authors

Publication date

August 1, 2025

Abstract:

This report documents the application of the SimPaths dynamic microsimulation framework – originally developed with reference to the UK – to the Italian context. The report describes model structure and adaptation with respect to the UK template, the input data used, and discusses specification and parameter estimates for all the statistical processes included in the model, with respect to the first public release (July 2025). Validation of the model is performed by comparing simulations started in 2011 with observed survey data for the period 2011-2021, with overall good results. The report concludes with an application to the effects of population ageing on economic dependency ratios and fiscal sustainability.

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