Providing a lower-bound estimate for psychology’s ‘crud factor’: the case of aggression

Publication type

Journal Article

Authors

Publication date

May 20, 2021

Summary:

When conducting research on large data sets, statistically significant findings having only trivial interpretive meaning may appear. Little consensus exists whether such small effects can be meaningfully interpreted. The current analysis examines the possibility that trivial effects may emerge in large datasets, but that some such effects may lack interpretive value. When such results match an investigator’s hypothesis, they may be over-interpreted. The current study examines this issue as related to aggression research in two large samples. Specifically, in the first study, the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (AddHeath) dataset was used. Fifteen variables with little theoretical relevance to aggression were selected, then correlated with self-reported delinquency. For the second study, the Understanding Society database was used. As with Study 1, 14 nonsensical variables were correlated with conduct problems. Many variables achieved 'statistical significance' and some effect sizes approached or exceeded r = .10, despite little theoretical relevance between the variables. It is recommended that effect sizes below r = .10 should not be interpreted as hypothesis supportive.

Published in

Professional Psychology: Research and Practice

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1037/pro0000386

ISSN

7357028

Subjects

Link

- https://lib.essex.ac.uk/iii/encore/record/C__Rb1606247

Notes

Online Early

#536805

News

Latest findings, new research

Publications search

Search all research by subject and author

Podcasts

Researchers discuss their findings and what they mean for society

Projects

Background and context, methods and data, aims and outputs

Events

Conferences, seminars and workshops

Survey methodology

Specialist research, practice and study

Taking the long view

ISER's annual report

Themes

Key research themes and areas of interest