Publication type
Journal Article
Author
Publication date
January 15, 2018
Summary:
This paper proposes an alternative approach to the question of how house prices influence household consumption by focusing on their impact on mortgage equity withdrawal and household saving. Household-level data are used to derive a measure of expected and unexpected changes in house prices; these are then incorporated into a recursive bivariate probit model of the decision to withdraw housing equity and save. The results suggest that households respond to changes in their housing wealth primarily by increasing their mortgage borrowing, rather than by decreasing their savings, although this is mainly for younger households. However, while changes in housing wealth do not have a direct impact on household saving, they do have an important indirect impact, since they increase the likelihood that the household will withdraw equity, which in turn has a negative impact on household saving.
Published in
Economica
Volume and page numbers
Volume: 85 , p.92 -123
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12237
ISSN
130427
Subjects
#524845