Long-term smoking relapse: a study using the British Household Panel Survey

Publication type

Journal Article

Authors

Publication date

June 1, 2010

Abstract:

Background: There is limited population-based evidence on long-term smoking relapse rates after 1 year of abstinence. We estimate the incidence of relapse and evaluate demographic, health, socioeconomic characteristics, and episodic events associated with an increased probability of relapse.

Methods: Smoking relapse is studied using a subsample of individuals in the annual British Household Panel Survey, between 1991 and 2006, who reported not being a smoker for at least 1 year (two consecutive surveys) after previously reporting smoking (n = 1,578). A random-effects panel logit regression was used to examine the association between smoking relapse and length of abstinence, demographic, socioeconomic, and health variables.

Results: Data were available on individuals for a mean of 5.2 years after the initial 1-year smoking abstinence. We estimated that 37.1% (34.0%-40.5%; 95% CI) of the sample would relapse within 10 years. Increased length of abstinence, increased age, being married, being educated to degree level, and a high frequency of General Practitioner (GP) visits were significantly associated with a lower risk of relapse. Conversely, higher relapse rates were significantly associated with mental health problems and having a partner who started smoking.

Conclusions: A significant proportion of smokers relapse after more than 1 year of abstinence. This study sheds light on factors associated with long-term relapse. This can form the basis for designing public health interventions to prolong abstinence and targeting interventions at former smokers at the highest risk of relapse.

Published in

Nicotine and Tobacco Research

Volume and page numbers

Volume: 12 , p.1 -1

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntq175

ISSN

14622203

Subject

Notes

not held in Res Lib - bibliographic reference only

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