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Journal Article

Measuring revisions to subjective expectations

Authors

Publication date

2008

Summary

 This paper develops a new metric to measure revisions to subjective
expectations and proposes a survey design strategy that enables the
estimation of the metric. As an application, I analyze how women update
their ex pectations about the effectiveness of contraception methods.
The women interviewed exhibit substantial heterogeneity in the way they
revise their expectations with receipt of the same information. When
relating the heterogeneity in the updating process to observable
characteristics, I find that schooling, having a regular sexual partner
and knowledge and use of birth control methods have a large impact on
the revision process about the effectiveness of contraceptives.

Published in

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

Volume and page numbers

36 , 43 -82

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-007-9030-9

ISSN

16

Subjects

Childbearing: Fertility and Survey Methodology

Links

http://serlib0.essex.ac.uk/record=b1652874~S5

Notes

Albert Sloman Library Periodicals *restricted to Univ. Essex registered users*

#521260


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