Recession and housing wealth
Purpose - To explore the changing role of housing wealth from an investment vehicle to a welfare resource. To consider the implications of economic prosperity and decline in the UK on home owners intentions of equity withdrawal, and the consequences of managing household budgets.
Design/methodology/approach - Quantitative longitudinal analysis of national data and panel survey, including random effects logistic regression model.
Findings - Housing wealth is increasingly being used as a financial safety net across the life course. Home owners are equally likely to have engaged in equity borrowing episodes during periods of economic prosperity as they are during periods of decline, particularly lone-parents with non-dependent children and unemployed people. Housing tends to be used as a last resort once other forms of credit have been exhausted.
Research limitations/implications - There a data constraints; equity withdrawal can only be calculated from 1994 and the latest wave of data available is 2008. The research is not therefore able to consider the full extent of the consequences of the current recession, however, it does provide an indication of the problems that may emerge.
Originality/value - The paper draws upon the author’s recent work (in collaboration with others) which offers insights into the motivations for equity borrowing. This paper offers an original contribution through presenting empirical evidence on the effect of economic prosperity and economic decline on household behaviour, and adds new insights in respect of the implications for household who rely on housing wealth in the context of the current recession.
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMIC POLICY
Online early; No doi given; not held in Res Lib - bibliographic reference only