Skip to content

Thesis

Three essays on causal inference in comparative political behavior -PhD thesis-

Authors

Publication date

2008

Abstract

This dissertation contains three independent essays, each applying statistical methods for causal inference in observational studies to central topics in comparative political behavior.
The first essay examines the claim often found in the democratization literature that foreign media undermine authoritarian regimes. Using formerly classified survey data and exploiting a natural experiment for identification, this case study of the effects of West German television in East Germany in contrast demonstrates that foreign media can act as a stabilizing force for authoritarian regimes.
The focus of the second essay is also on the effects of West German television in East Germany. It speaks to the literature on social movements and examines to what extent West German television facilitated the diffusion of protest during the East German revolution. It shows that there is little empirical support for anecdotal evidence that links West German television to the East German revolution.
The final essay tests a claim in positive political economy that men and women react differently to transitions out of marriage. In contrast to previous work, its analysis of British Household Panel Survey data finds no evidence that transitions out of marriage have an effect on political preferences or vote choice in UK General Elections. Transitions out of marriage do, however, cause a large drop in turnout among both men and women.

Subjects

Statistical Analysis, Elections. Electoral Behaviour, and Family Formation And Dissolution

Notes

not held in Res Lib - bibliographic reference only

#513410


Research home

Research home

News

Latest findings, new research

Publications search

Search all research by subject and author

Podcasts

Researchers discuss their findings and what they mean for society

Projects

Background and context, methods and data, aims and outputs

Events

Conferences, seminars and workshops

Survey methodology

Specialist research, practice and study

Taking the long view

ISER's annual report

Themes

Key research themes and areas of interest