Cohort differences in the lifetime parenthood gender pay gap in the UK: an accelerated cohort‑sequential growth curve approach

Publication type

Journal Article

Series Number

Author

Publication date

August 1, 2025

Summary:

This paper investigates the cohort differences in the development of the lifetime parenthood gender earnings gap in the UK and the crucial role education plays as a potential moderator. Recent cohorts (born in 1980 onwards) have faced multiple challenges against the backdrop of the introduction of university tuition fees in 1998, and the growth in the proportion of degree holders. The intensification of neoliberal reforms not only levied high costs on educational opportunities, but also exposed recent cohorts to intense competition in the labour market. Combined with the UK’s sustained liberal market-oriented family policy characterised by limited childcare support, younger generations were found to be relatively worse off. By applying the under-utilised accelerated cohort sequential design to multilevel growth curve modelling, this study offers a clear methodological link between multilevel and accelerated longitudinal frameworks with respect to within- and between-person time effects. As demonstrated by the novel application of the accelerated cohort sequential design, this study reports cohort effects isolated from competing time dimensions. The steady improvement in the gender pay gap over the last two decades masks the bleak projection of recent cohorts’ lifetime earnings. Unless the pace of recent cohorts keeps up with the moving goalposts propelled by social changes, young cohorts will be worse off than their parents’ generations.

Published in

Social Indicators Research

Volume and page numbers

Volume: 179 , p.201 -234

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-025-03603-z

ISSN

03038300

Subjects

Notes

Open Access

This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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