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Intergenerational transmission of lockdown consequences: Prognosis of the longer-run persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America External seminar

The shock on human capital caused by COVID-19 is likely to have long lasting consequences, especially for children of low-educated families. Applying a counterfactual exercise we project the effects of school closures and other lockdown policies on the intergenerational persistence of education in 17 Latin American countries. First, we retrieve detailed information on school lockdowns and on the policies enacted to support education from home in each country. Then, we use this information to estimate the potential impact of the pandemic on schooling, high school completion, and inter-generational associations. In addition, we account for educational disruptions related to household income shocks. Our findings show that, despite that mitigation policies were able to partly reduce instructional losses in some countries, the educational attainment of the most vulnerable could be seriously affected. In particular, the likelihood of children from low educated families to attain a secondary schooling degree could fall substantially.

Presented by

Guido Neidhöfer (ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research)

Date & time

05 May 2021, 12:30


Zoom link for online meeting: Please note that this event is open to everyone, but those who are not members of University of Essex need to register by simply sending their names to

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